Governance

Estate Risks & Issues

High Severity
4
Medium Severity
6
Low Severity
2
Risks on Register
12
Showing 12 of 12 risks

Risk Register

Across Forfar, Scotscraig and Montrose

Course & Grounds·Montrose Golf Links

Accelerated coastal erosion, holes 2–5

HighMitigating

Winter storm activity has advanced the dune line by an estimated 1.8m at the seaward edge of hole 3. Continued loss threatens the championship routing and the medal tee on hole 4.

Owner
Iain Buchanan
General Manager, Montrose
Mitigation
CalForth Construction engaged for rock-armour and dune-reinforcement works; Dynamic Coast monitoring quarterly; contingency routing drafted for holes 3 and 4.
Course & Grounds·Montrose Golf Links

Irrigation system end-of-life failure risk

HighMitigating

1998 pump house has suffered three failures this season. A summer-long outage would risk green loss across the championship course estimated at £180k recovery cost.

Owner
Ross McLeod
Head Greenkeeper, Montrose
Mitigation
Preferred-tender decision (d2) routed to Directors; interim spare pump rented from Toro UK; manual hose-watering rota in place as fallback.
Clubhouse & Buildings·Forfar Golf Club

Clubhouse roof water ingress

HighMitigating

Three significant leak events in 18 months have damaged plaster in the Captain's Room and threaten heritage joinery. Insurer has flagged escalating premium at next renewal.

Owner
Fraser Davidson
General Manager, Forfar
Mitigation
Roof renewal contractor appointment (d4) awaiting director sign-off; temporary tarpaulin in place; conservation officer engaged on slate provenance.
Governance & Heritage·Forfar Golf Club

Capital programme affordability vs covenant headroom

HighOpen

Draft 2027–29 programme of £8.4m sits within debt covenant headroom but leaves limited contingency for cost inflation in years two and three.

Owner
Leanne Mirrey
Group General Manager, Ancient Links
Mitigation
Sensitivity testing at +12% inflation included in board pack; staged release of phase 2 funding tied to membership-revenue triggers; lender briefed quarterly.
Course & Grounds·Scotscraig Golf Club

Winter playability — back nine drainage

MediumOpen

Standing water on holes 11–15 caused 23 winter closure days last season, with c.£42k green-fee income lost and member complaints rising.

Owner
Callum Bain
Head Greenkeeper, Scotscraig
Mitigation
Phase 2 drainage funding (d3) awaiting director release; temporary winter mats deployed; aerification programme intensified.
Commercial & Hospitality·Montrose Golf Links

Kitchen capacity constraining event revenue

MediumMonitoring

Existing 60-cover kitchen turns away c.£140k of weekend event enquiries annually. Equipment is beyond economic repair within 24 months.

Owner
Rosie Anderson
Interior Designer & Associate, John Frulani Architects
Mitigation
Concept design (d5) progressing to RIBA Stage 3; event bookings being staggered; pop-up marquee hire option costed for 2026 summer programme.
Commercial & Hospitality·Scotscraig Golf Club

Member churn following 2027 repricing

MediumMonitoring

Modelled 6–9% attrition from the proposed joining-fee and subscription uplift. Concentrated risk amongst the 60+ five-day member cohort.

Owner
David Brown
Sales Manager, Ancient Links
Mitigation
Loyalty band introduced for 10+ year members; phased communication led by Jo Eismont; quarterly retention dashboard reporting to Leanne Mirrey.
Commercial & Hospitality·Forfar Golf Club

Catering operator transition continuity

MediumOpen

Outgoing operator's contract expires 31 Oct. A delayed appointment risks loss of bar and dining service through the autumn society programme.

Owner
Leanne Mirrey
Group General Manager, Ancient Links
Mitigation
Preferred-tender decision (d7) on track for July board; TUPE legal advice retained via Alex Fairlie; interim in-house bar plan drafted as fallback.
Estate & Property·Scotscraig Golf Club

Staff accommodation condition — Tay Cottages

MediumMitigating

EPC rating of F across two of the four cottages presents both compliance and retention risk for seasonal greenkeeping staff.

Owner
Alex Fairlie
HR Manager, Ancient Links
Mitigation
Phase 1 refurbishment (d9) approved; CalForth Construction mobilising July; interim insulation works completed at cottage 3.
Governance & Heritage·Forfar Golf Club

Heritage consent delay — clubhouse fabric works

MediumMonitoring

Conservation officer's pre-application advice is positive but full listed-building consent is not expected until late July, creating a tight window before the autumn weather.

Owner
Blair Smith
Architect & Director, John Frulani Architects
Mitigation
Weekly liaison with Angus Council heritage team; enabling and scaffold works packaged separately so they can proceed on consent.
Estate & Property·Montrose Golf Links

Grid capacity constraint — EV charging

LowMonitoring

SSEN initial assessment indicates the visitor car park supply requires upgrade to deliver the planned twelve EV bays. Programme slippage and £45k additional cost possible.

Owner
Iain Buchanan
General Manager, Montrose
Mitigation
Scheme staged at six bays for phase 1 within existing supply; OZEV grant application includes grid-upgrade contingency; 1Office Technologies negotiating with SSEN.
Governance & Heritage·Scotscraig Golf Club

Heather regeneration trial — ecological outcome uncertainty

LowMonitoring

Year-one monitoring shows slower-than-expected regeneration on the east boundary plot. Risk to NatureScot reporting commitments if trends persist.

Owner
Callum Bain
Head Greenkeeper, Scotscraig
Mitigation
Independent ecologist commissioned for mid-year review; supplementary seeding planned for September; NatureScot informed proactively.